This is the last check before kickoff — a short confirmation post that runs the evening before each week’s Sunday games, separate from the full Splash Sports research update earlier in the week. Entries A and C are both riding the same pick into Week 2, and tonight’s job is simple: re-check that number one more time against live pricing and pull the final injury reports before Sunday.
What Changed
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Week 2 number ticked up from 76% to 78%. Cleveland’s offense hasn’t shown much through Week 1, and the market has kept drifting toward Tampa Bay all week — nothing dramatic, just a continued tightening in the same direction we’ve been tracking since Wednesday.
- Both teams’ Friday injury reports came back clean for Sunday’s purposes: Tampa Bay’s three questionable players all progressed to full practice participation, and Cleveland is missing only starting guard Teven Jenkins (already replaced by his permanent backup), with everyone else expected to play.
Entry A
Entry A stays on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (home vs. Cleveland Browns), now priced at 78% to win. No swap under consideration — the number moved in our favor this week, not against it.
Entry B
Entry B was eliminated in Week 1 (Tennessee Titans, lost 10-23 to the Jets) and carries no picks going forward. Its remaining weeks stay visible in the roadmap below, marked ELIMINATED, so the original season-long plan stays there for reference.
Entry C
Entry C is also on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week, matching Entry A after Monday’s line move away from the Falcons. Same final number: 78%.
The Full 18-Week Roadmap
Entry B’s remaining weeks are marked ELIMINATED below; its original planned allocation is preserved for reference, not shown as live picks.
| Wk | Type | Entry A | Entry B | Entry C | Cumulative Survival (A / B / C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | single | Las Vegas Raiders (vs Miami Dolphins, 60%) ✓ WON 27-13 | Tennessee Titans (vs New York Jets, 53%) ✗ LOST 10-23 | Jacksonville Jaguars (vs Cleveland Browns, 79%) ✓ WON 34-10 | 100.0% / ELIM / 100.0% |
| 2 | single | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs Cleveland Browns, 78%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs Cleveland Browns, 78%) | 78.00% / ELIM / 78.00% |
| 3 | DOUBLE | New Orleans Saints (vs Las Vegas Raiders, 72%) San Francisco 49ers (vs Arizona Cardinals, 89%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Detroit Lions (vs New York Jets, 88%) Kansas City Chiefs (@Miami Dolphins, 81%) |
49.98% / ELIM / 55.60% |
| 4 | single | Minnesota Vikings (vs Miami Dolphins, 84%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | New York Giants (vs Arizona Cardinals, 79%) | 41.99% / ELIM / 43.92% |
| 5 | single | Cincinnati Bengals (@Miami Dolphins, 79%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Pittsburgh Steelers (vs Indianapolis Colts, 63%) | 33.17% / ELIM / 27.67% |
| 6 | DOUBLE | New England Patriots (vs New York Jets, 85%) Los Angeles Rams (vs Arizona Cardinals, 93%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Buffalo Bills (@Las Vegas Raiders, 79%) Baltimore Ravens (@Cleveland Browns, 77%) |
26.22% / ELIM / 16.83% |
| 7 | single | New York Jets (vs Miami Dolphins, 67%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Tennessee Titans (vs Cleveland Browns, 61%) | 17.57% / ELIM / 10.27% |
| 8 | single | Pittsburgh Steelers (vs Cleveland Browns, 74%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Green Bay Packers (vs Carolina Panthers, 78%) | 13.00% / ELIM / 8.01% |
| 9 | DOUBLE | Seattle Seahawks (vs Arizona Cardinals, 92%) Kansas City Chiefs (vs New York Jets, 85%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Chicago Bears (vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 64%) New Orleans Saints (vs Cleveland Browns, 70%) |
10.17% / ELIM / 3.59% |
| 10 | single | Indianapolis Colts (vs Miami Dolphins, 81%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Houston Texans (@Cleveland Browns, 71%) | 8.23% / ELIM / 2.55% |
| 11 | single | Dallas Cowboys (vs Tennessee Titans, 76%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Los Angeles Chargers (vs New York Jets, 86%) | 6.26% / ELIM / 2.19% |
| 12 | DOUBLE | Jacksonville Jaguars (vs Tennessee Titans, 79%) Washington Commanders (@Arizona Cardinals, 68%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Cincinnati Bengals (vs New Orleans Saints, 71%) Indianapolis Colts (vs New York Giants, 61%) |
3.36% / ELIM / 0.95% |
| 13 | DOUBLE | Denver Broncos (vs Miami Dolphins, 89%) Philadelphia Eagles (@Arizona Cardinals, 82%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Washington Commanders (@Tennessee Titans, 52%) Seattle Seahawks (vs Dallas Cowboys, 74%) |
2.45% / ELIM / 0.37% |
| 14 | DOUBLE | Chicago Bears (@Miami Dolphins, 78%) Detroit Lions (vs Tennessee Titans, 85%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Denver Broncos (@New York Jets, 75%) Philadelphia Eagles (vs Indianapolis Colts, 75%) |
1.63% / ELIM / 0.21% |
| 15 | DOUBLE | Green Bay Packers (vs Miami Dolphins, 90%) New York Giants (vs Cleveland Browns, 68%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Atlanta Falcons (opponent TBD – provisional, 45%) Los Angeles Rams (vs Dallas Cowboys, 75%) |
1.00% / ELIM / 0.07% |
| 16 | DOUBLE | Baltimore Ravens (vs Cleveland Browns, 87%) Los Angeles Chargers (@Miami Dolphins, 82%) |
ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | New England Patriots (@New York Jets, 75%) Minnesota Vikings (vs Washington Commanders, 64%) |
0.71% / ELIM / 0.03% |
| 17 | single | Buffalo Bills (@Miami Dolphins, 86%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | Dallas Cowboys (vs New York Giants, 69%) | 0.61% / ELIM / 0.02% |
| 18 | single | Houston Texans (vs Tennessee Titans, 81%) | ELIMINATED (Wk 1) | San Francisco 49ers (@Arizona Cardinals, 81%) | 0.49% / ELIM / 0.02% |
What’s Next
Both entries kick off Sunday afternoon against Cleveland. We’ll be back Tuesday with the full Week 3 research update, and back here again next Saturday evening for the final pre-game check.