NFL Free Football Picks Week 9

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL HERE!!!
2-0 last week on Monday Night again!

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Atlanta at Detroit
Early in the season key injuries has the Lions looking like, well, the Lions.  But now getting many of these components back (and rested a week) they looked better before the bye week and with inconsistent Atlanta coming to town the Lions have a good shot to pull an upset here!
Detroit Lions +5
Falcons/Lions OVER 46.5

Cincinnati at Baltimore
Still not entirely sold on either team - just haven't seen consistently good play from either.  Bengals may not have the D to shut down an improved (though still up and down) Raven offense but IN Baltimore offenses struggle, even potentially great ones like Cinncy.
Baltimore Ravens -3

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Dallas at Washington
Skins started slow, then seemed to have it going then looked bad again.  Did like what we saw from Romo in his first start, but often a team can rally behind a guy for one game, second game sometimes a different story.  Key here is Portis.  Questionable at press time for us, if Portis goes we'd take the points in a weak pick.  If Portis is out we like Dallas quite a bit more.
with Portis, lean to Washington +3
without Portis, solid play on Dallas -3

Green Bay at Buffalo
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Houston at N.Y. Giants
Do the Giants stay focused and roll up an easy win?  Or do they let down and let solid passing Carr give them a game? 
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Kansas City at St. Louis
Chiefs off two solid games - two solid games at home, fueled by a great crowd.  One of which nearly got away with mistakes.  Meanwhile the Rams keep playing smart football by controlling the ball and not making mistakes.  Look for KC to get more conservative on the road and both teams will look to control the ball, two smart money plays here.
St. Louis Rams -3
Chiefs/Rams UNDER 48.5


Miami at Chicago
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New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Still believe the Saints are a quality football team.  But perhaps more so believe the Bucs are an improved football team, still tough at home.  Bucs should have a solid day on the ground, that makes life easier on Gradkowski.  Look for both teams to do some scoring.
Tampa Bay Bucs +1
Saints/Bucs OVER 39

Tennessee at Jacksonville
Which Jaguars team shows up? The one who went to Philly and shut down the Eagles and got a win or the one who lost to Houston??
If the solid D of Jax shows up for this one it will be a long day for the Titans offense, and it seems everybody is scoring on the Titans.
Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

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Minnesota at San Francisco
Look for a bounce back performance from the Vikings.  Not sure Alex Smith and 49ers as equipped to completely abandon running game and just throw all over the place as Brady did Monday Night.  Vikings offense should be back in a big way for this one.
Minnesota Vikings -5
Vikings/49ers OVER 41

Cleveland at San Diego
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Denver at Pittsburgh
One of the tougher match ups of the day.  Not sure what to expect from either team.  Do the Steelers, again feeling in a must win spot rise the ocassion and get a huge win?  Do the Broncos really have a great defense (yes, it was Indy but they got torched last week) and for the first time we saw Denver can actually score.  We'll lean to desperation from Pittsburgh at home, but mainly we still don't trust Plummer on the road.
Pittsburgh Steelers -2

Indianapolis at New England
Great game on tap here!!  Perhaps the Colts had in the back of their minds that they must get 1 of the 2 tough road games in Denver and New England.  So do they let down in this one after a huge win last week?  Perhaps not, but the Pats are playing much football as Brady gets comforatable with his receivers.  We had a nice 2-0 Monday Night with New England last week but the bad part is that the value in this game is now down a bit.  But the Patriots are starting to get some swagger back and they have a coaching edge here that could be key!  Colts D still not good enough (believe NE offense much better than Denver and we see what Denver did to Indy D) so go with Brady at home in a shoot out that will be fun to watch!
New England Patriots -3
Colts/Patriots OVER 47.5




Oakland at Seattle
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