NFL Free Football Picks Week 1

 

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Atlanta at Carolina
Atlanta has Mike Vick so they always have a chance.  But we're not real convinced they have much else.   We don't believe the running game will open up enough time for Vick and the ends for Carolina can give Vick at least a good race and force him wide a little sooner than he'd like.  Panthers have a healthy stud running back and a solid back up ready to take the league by storm according to our friends at FantasyDraftEdge.com and with Delhomme looking for Steve Smith when play action has frozen the DBs the Panthers will have little trouble scoring.
Carolina Panthers -5

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Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Two teams on the rise both looking to make an early statement with strong defense and hopefully an improving offense.  One of the tougher games of the week, best move is to stick with the total or one of our other five TOP PICKS but we will take the points as we see this one coming down to a FG.

Buffalo at New England
Don't like to lay this many points very often in the NFL, particularly so in week of the season.  But the Pats are out to prove they are still the team to beat in the AFC.  Healthy on D unlike last year and plenty of weapons on offense led by Brady it may very well be the case.  Not sure Buffalo found enough answers on D and are quite certain they have no passing game.  McGahee is solid but not enough.  Could be a blow out but we at least see the Pats adding enough late to get the cover.
New England Patriots -8

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Cincinnati at Kansas City
The Chiefs D will be better, and at home were actually decent last year against the run - but it's the pass they have to worry about.  And with Carson Palmer looking very good back from injury this could be a problem.  But with Surtain one on side and Ty Law now on the other and a focus on the KC offense to control the ball more to keep the defense off the field we see KC getting this tough win at home to start '06.
Kansas City Chiefs -3

Denver at St. Louis
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New Orleans at Cleveland
Not excited about either option here.  McAllister looking solid coming back from injury and potential certainly there with Bush but we have coaching concerns with the Saints and don't believe Drew Brees is 100% healthy.  If for no other reason we like the home team here.
Cleveland Browns -3

N.Y. Jets at Tennessee
Another where it's tough to see an edge for either team, both looking at long seasons perhaps.  But the Jets may have a healthy Chad Pennington at least for the opening snap so we'll take the points when there's little reason to get behind either team too much.
NY Jets +3

Philadelphia at Houston
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Seattle at Detroit
Easy money here, the line is moving - which way to grab it and cash in is all part of our 5 BIG TOP PICKS to open the season!

Chicago at Green Bay
Bears D likely to take a step backwards this season, of course they could take about 3 and still be the best in the league.  Packers youth on the offensive line and the eractic (more so than ever before) Favre not a formula for success against this D.  We look for the Packers to get better during the year but this is not the start they wanted.
Chicago Bears -3

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Dallas at Jacksonville
Nobody really talking about the Jaguars but this team may quietly surprise this season as they have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball.  Dallas will be tough this season but until Owens has had some time to work with Bledsoe we question if he'll be helpful or hurtful to this offense.  A solid ground game for Dallas makes them tempting but we prefer the home team at the end in this close game.
Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5

San Francisco at Arizona
We believe the Cardinals will be better this year and are a favorite upset pick to win their division.  But, we are not ready to lay this many with Warner and the Cardinals - even against the 49ers.
San Francisco 49ers +7.5


Indianapolis at N.Y. Giants
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Minnesota at Washington
San Diego at Oakland

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