NFL Free Football Picks Week 17


Playoff implications - teams playing in meaningless games, but maybe not knowing it!
Who's scoreboarding watching? Who wants to move up a seed?
Stick with our TOP PICKS for the important answers!

Expect lines to shift significantly as results affecting other teams playoff situation become final.

2-0 Saturday, including a TOP PICK WIN!
2 more TOP PICKS Sunday!

The real run is on Monday! Don't miss our HOT Bowl Picks!

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Denver at San Diego, Saturday 4:30 p.m.
Broncos not looking to put forth 100% effort here, but they are going to show up and they are going to play.  Shanahan doesn't like to lose, we think there will be plenty of effort by Denver in this one.  Chargers motivation here not exceptionally compelling.  Too many points not to take in a game best NOT wagered on.
Denver Broncos +11

N.Y. Giants at Oakland, Saturday 8:00 p.m.
With so many tricky playoff and psychological factors this weekend - it's important you wager smart - take only our best! 
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Arizona at Indianapolis, 1:00 p.m.
Have to wonder where the Colts heads are for this one?  Dungy expected back, 2 straight losses.  Have to believe Indy needs to stay sharp and put forth some effort in this game.  It's interesting that everyone is talking about the #3 v #4 seed in the AFC Playoffs, because you can avoid Indy longer.  I'll tell you now that we'll be looking very strongly at taking the points against Indy in their first playoff game because it will simply have been too long since they played meaningful football.  In this, Colts get big lead, Cards not able to back door the cover.
Indianapolis Colts -6.5

Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00 p.m.
Quick progression of Frye in Cleveland worth noting - but more importantly was just as quick of a regression against a top D last week.  Touger times for the Browns offense this week, Boller looking better each week.
Baltimore Ravens -3

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Buffalo at N.Y. Jets, 1:00 p.m.
Not sure where to look for an edge here, neither team much to play for both just assume have the season over.  But expect best efforts from both, another game best to save your money on, but we'll side with the home dog in a game that stays close.
New York Jets +1.5

Carolina at Atlanta, 1:00 p.m.
IF, and perhaps a big IF, the Falcons can find some enthusiasm for this game they can ruin the Panthers post-season, and believe me that will be motivation for Atlanta.  Panthers need a win to get in, but they don't match up well against the Falcons and always tough to win on the road.  This one comes to the wire, decided by a late FG.
Atlanta Falcons +4

 

Chicago at Minnesota, 1:00 p.m.
Bears desire to rest players versus need to get Grossman as many live reps as possible as he's returned from a long layoff the key here.  Vikings nice mid-season win streak now forgotten as they are out of playoff contention.  Low scoring, just don't see the Vikings opening the margin at any point.
Chicago Bears +4.5

Cincinnati at Kansas City, 1:00 p.m.
Line here subject to change for a few reasons.  First, Palmer's status - we don't think he'll play, no reason for him to.  Also, a SD win over Denver ends KC's slim playoff hopes.  But we believe KC gives maximum effort for head coach Dick Vermeil (likely last game, so both a good-bye but perhaps a look how good we are, please come back effort) and the Bengals have very little interest in this game.  ALL KC
Kansas City Chiefs -7.5

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Detroit at Pittsburgh, 1:00 p.m.
Another game you shouldn't bet, and won't be able to on Saturday for about 4 hours.  If SD beats Denver the Steelers are IN the playoffs.  So motivation, and starters playing time becomes a question.  If this a must win for Pittsburgh, we'd consider laying the big line, otherwise we'd avoid playing this game entirely.
Check back - pending Denver/SD and adjusted line on this game.

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Miami at New England, 1:00 p.m.
Patriots proved last week that you can take it easy on your team with a conservative gameplan and still crush opponents.  That looked very easy for the Patriots last week.  Not quite as easy this week, but Miami on the road not likely to stay close.
New England Patriots -5.5

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 p.m.
Clayton out, concerns us with TB, but less than nothing to get excited about with the Saints.  Bucs will slowly pull away here.
Tampa Bay Bucs -13.5


Houston at San Francisco, 4:05 p.m.
Nobody plays to lose, so the discussions of the Reggie Bush sweepstakes are a non-factor.  No reason to support either team, must look at the home team with perhaps a bit more confidence.
San Francisco 49ers +1.5
Tennessee at Jacksonville, 4:05 p.m.
McNair and Leftwich remain question marks on Friday afternoon.  Even with Leftwhich we've seen little be impressed by for the Jags offense, they can't change their playoff situation so must question motivation, yet another game that makes a case to stick with our TOP PICKS and not bet here, must take the point though.
Tennessee Titans +3.5


Seattle at Green Bay, 4:15 p.m.
In such a tough week, with motivation questions, playoff scenarios changing it's important to stick with our very best - this is one of them, it's one of 3 TOP PICKS!!! Get ALL 3 HERE!
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Washington at Philadelphia, 4:15 p.m.
Stick with our BEST in a very tough week, except for these 3 picks!!
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St. Louis at Dallas, 8:30 p.m.
If BOTH Carolina and Washington WIN then Dallas is out of the playoffs and will very much want the Rams + the points, of course it won't likely stay 12.5, not too excited about laying so many even if Dallas in with a win.
St. Louis Rams +12.5
if Dallas out of playoffs by kickoff

 

 



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