NFL Free Football Picks Week 16

Mostly Saturday games this week!
Tough week with some teams resting players - no problem for us!
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Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 p.m.
Should be a solid ground battle, defense will determine alot.  But a big edge to playmaking Vick at QB, Simms not getting better.
Atlanta Falcons +3
Falcons/Bucs UNDER 36.5

Buffalo at Cincinnati, 1:00 p.m.
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Dallas at Carolina, 1:00 p.m.
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Detroit at New Orleans, 1:00 p.m.
Two bad teams, so favor the home team....but does New Orleans count as a home team?  Lions much less trustworthy than the Saints.
New Orleans Saints -3

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Jacksonville at Houston, 1:00 p.m.
Jags need to bounce back after a very flat performance last week.  Problem could be some fundamentals.  Houston still playing hard and at home we must take the points.
Houston Texans +6

N.Y. Giants at Washington, 1:00 p.m.
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Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1:00 p.m.
Browns starting to look like a football team.  This young team has gotten a lot better this season.  Steelers solid last week, but must keep focus on the road against a rival.  Browns very likely at their best in this one, worth taking the points.
Cleveland Browns +7

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 p.m.
Chargers could very well be flat for this one after a HUGE win last week.  But is the air out of the Chiefs sails a bit?  Still alive for the playoffs - but just barely.  So perhaps intangibles balance out - so fundamentals look to favor a solid passing offense from San Diego, Chiefs weakening run D (a previously improved area it seemed) and the Chargers front 4 - actually front 7 all impressive.
San Diego Chargers -1

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San Francisco at St. Louis, 1:00 p.m.
Bottom line here is the lesser of two evils.  Just can't recommend the Rams laying this much.  Don't like taking San Fran much either.  Under maybe the best play in this one.
San Francisco 49ers +9
49ers/Rams UNDER 42.5

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Tennessee at Miami, 1:00 p.m.
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Philadelphia at Arizona, 4:05 p.m.
Eagles, despite everything just keep playing tough football games.  McCown could struggle against this D if they again come out to play tough.  Our TOP PICKS much smarter money - plus a free sweatshirt!  But we will take the better defense with Philly.
Philadelphia Eagles +1.5


Indianapolis at Seattle, 4:15 p.m.
Colts will rest players, Dungy issue will effect this team.  Seahawks still need home field, but in the past we've seen this surprisingly not be big motivation.  If we had to we'd take the points, but this game still off the board.  Ultimately we'll have no pick on this one.
No pick on this one.
Oakland at Denver, 4:15 p.m.
Should be all Broncos, all afternoon.  Only possible reason to see anything to the contrary would be lack of focus - we've seen it from Denver before.  But, Shanahan likes to beat the Raiders, and usually does.  Broncos keep their foot on the gas here.
Denver Broncos -13


Chicago at Green Bay, Sunday 5:00 p.m.
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Minnesota at Baltimore, Sunday 8:30 p.m.
Ravens perhaps picking up some confidence last week, Vikings possibly losing some more.  More likely another reality check for Minnesota as tough defense slows this team.  That's the story tonight.
Baltimore Ravens -3


New England at N.Y. Jets
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