NFL Free Football Picks Week 12

TOP PICKS WIN AGAIN!
That's 4 straight TOP PICK Winning Sunday's!

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Big day Thursday as we told you Atlanta was the best play of the day and they rolled!!
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Atlanta at Detroit, Thursday 12:30 p.m.
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Denver at Dallas, Thursday 4:15 p.m.
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Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 p.m.
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Carolina at Buffalo, 1:00 p.m.
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Chicago at Tampa Bay, 1:00 p.m.
Greatly respect impressive season being put together by the Bears.  But this is by far the best D Kyle Orton has faced - and he's got to do it on the road.  Much the same can be said for shaky at times Simms, but he is at home and his best weapon Cadillac Williams in the backfield again!  Advantage home team in the battle of young QBs facing top defenses.
Tampa Bay Bucaneers -3

Cleveland at Minnesota, 1:00 p.m.
Not sold on some recent improvements by both teams.  Browns strong committment to a solid running game looking to pay some dividends.  Vikings seem to be putting things together, but this is the best D the Brad Johnson led offense has faced.  Tough spot to trust either team too much, but with the Browns running game and their defense they can give the Vikings a test.
Cleveland Browns +4

 

New England at Kansas City, 1:00 p.m.
Patriots D not stopping anybody consistently, KC D not stopping anybody through the air.  Look for both QB's to have big games.  But big edge goes to KC at home who behind Larry Johnson have the far superior running game and the offensive game plan for KC adjusting very nicely to his style and abilities.
Kansas City Chiefs -3

San Diego at Washington, 1:00 p.m.
With Gates looking like a game-time decision it's tough to get too excited about the Chargers winning a game on another long road trip against a quality defense and ball control offense.  But, the Chargers offense is better and with LT they remain dangerous.  If Gates goes, we really like the Chargers here, if he can't go we'd still have to favor SD but just barely.
San Diego Chargers -3
*Check our late update for Gates status update

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San Francisco at Tennessee, 1:00 p.m.
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St. Louis at Houston, 1:00 p.m.
Not comfortable risking hard earned money on either of these teams.  Jamie Martin at QB makes it tough to get too excited about the inconsistent Rams, but impossible to get behind Houston for any less than a TD on your side.  Stick with the lesser of two evils in this one.
St. Louis Rams -3.5

Jacksonville at Arizona, 4:05 p.m.
Jags offense should look good against this defense, most teams have.  Cardinals offense finding their way a bit with Boldin healthy and Warner gaining some confidence.  Still don't believe the Cardinals are capable of beating the better teams in the league, the total probably the smarter bet in this game anyway.
Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5
Jags/Cardinals OVER 41.5


Miami at Oakland, 4:05 p.m.
Dolphins believe they are improving, and perhaps they are - but not seeing it in the win column.  Can't play Miami on the road especially as it seems the Raiders may finally be gelling on offense. 
Oakland Raiders -7
Green Bay at Philadelphia, 4:15 p.m.
There aren't too many teams in the league we'd even be thinking about playing Philly against this week.  This is one of them however.  Philly perhaps had some closure with T.O. out of the way.  But with McNabb now officially done for the year we have to worry that the Eagles will simply "pack it in" - so we the effort we'll get from Philly concerns us.  But Favre is simply trying to do everything himself and is making far too many mistakes.  Eagles D aggressive and quick.  McMahon should be a little more comfortable  with a game behind him.
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5


N.Y. Giants at Seattle, 4:15 p.m.
Giants keep winning, but the shine certainly off the early season version of this team that scored at will and made big plays on special teams and defense.  Eli Manning still young and showing it at times - particularly on the road.  With a better defense we'd love the impressive Seahawk offense at home in this one, but Seattle can't stop anybody.  Still, don't believe the Gaints are as good as their record - certainly not lately.
Seattle Seahawks -4.5

New Orleans at N.Y. Jets, 8:30 p.m.
Best plan for this game, count the money you won with our TOP PICKS earlier in the day.  Very tough to believe either team is worthy of support here. But, Jets are at home and the Saints have are as bad as they are this season despite having more talent on the field.  If you must, take the home team.
New York Jets -1


Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
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