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The Panthers have one of the best defenses in the league and still have Peppers as his appeal won't be heard before Sunday. The Falcons are all Mike Vick as they D is average at best and the receivers still have trouble catching the ball. Falcons win another close one, but we like the points.

Taking the dog in AFC games always a good idea. This is no exception. We like the Jets resurgence but Bledsoe has been solid on the road. This game is destined to be too close to turn down the points.

How will the Steelers react to the loss of their savior? Stewart has shown bounce back ability in the past and gets a nice break as he goes against the Bungals first time back out. Plenty of better bets this week, like our 3 TOP PICKS! Probably a good game to pass on but until Stewart can prove himself and the Pittsburgh D plays another solid game the smart money is with the points.

The Saints offense is impressive but they have too many holes on defense to rely too heavily on. McAllister may be hurting, which could slow down the Saints attack. Cleveland gaining balance on offense and have the emerging talent to keep this game close.

All the close wins Chicago got last year have been losses this season. Having lost 8 in a row its tough to believe they'll over look anybody. The Lions continue to play tough only to come up short against quality opponents. This one should stay close. We simply can't support the Bears enough to lay this many.

The Buccs always up for the Packers and seem to have their best ready for Favre. But after an embarassing defeat last week we like Favre back on grass. Just don't trust Tampa offense enough to do anything but keep it close and try to pull one out late. If it comes to the wire I like Favre over Johnson.

Once again we'll play against the Cowboys. The Jags have a case of Titans disease of playing to opponents level. But Jags talent is superior and they remain in the thick of what's going to be a very tough playoff battle.

An impressive win for Minnesota last week as the GB dome jinx continued. Patriots have shown signs of life lately but inconsistently. The Vikings running game has improved significantly and it will be a valuable commodity on the road. Tough to rely too heavily on either team right now and in the year upsets 7.5 looks too good to pass on.

San Diego got a nice comeback win last week against San Fran (how does Cortez still have a job) but face a tough road test this week. The Dolphins should benefit nicely from some renewed confidence in Lucas at QB. If the Dolphins D and Lucas repeat performance of a week ago this will be an easy Dolphin win.

With Tennessee continually playing to opponents level we can't support the Titans as road favorites. Ravens have been all over the place year but fundumentals still favor their D. This will likely be a close game as the Ravens look to bounce back from bad effort on D last week.

The Chiefs remain in a clouded AFC playoff race and Seattle still can't stop the run. Priest Holmes should have a huge day against Seattle. KC defense improving, must now prove it's them and not opposing coaches game planning. Until Seattle shows some offense (even with KC in town) we can't support them or too many points.

Another tough test for the Cards as the Raiders seem to have re-discovered their offense. Raiders can't let up and should have easy time moving the ball in this one.

Giants winning games, but not exactly blowing people out. Very conservative workman like approach getting it done but against Houston it could back fire as it's probably not a great idea to let Carr hang around. New York has shown no signs of ability to pull away, even in this apparent mis-match.

No line yet on this one as Marshall Faulk sat out last week. The Rams will go with Warner. Bulger's injury sure convenient for Martz making tough QB call prior to last weeks game. Expect some rust from Warner, but ultimately with Faulk in and Warner healthy finally we'll tend to like the Rams. We'll certainly favor the under as the QB shuffle continues in Washington. Check back as we'll update when the line is posted.
***Update - The line is out and the Rams are 4.5 point favorites. We still like the Rams, although Faulk remains questionable. You just can't expect much from Washington playing QB shuffle.

St. Louis Rams -4.5

Which Denver defense shows up? For that matter, which Indy offense shows up? We don't think Denver loses much going to Beuerlein - in fact - do they get a little better? The Colts with James healthy and Manning possibly regaining some confidence have won a few games, but against lessor quality teams. Denver's worst performances have been in primetime but they have a far superior D to the Colts still.

Philadelphia at San Francisco

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