NFL Week 11
**FINAL RESULTS**
Win - Loss
Units
OVERALL
12-8
+3.2
Sides
8-7
+0.3
Over/Unders
4-1
+2.9


Another winning Sunday!
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The wild and wacky, unpredictable NFL continues. Take a look at JUST last weekend. The Saints run a fumble back on the last play of the game to cover. The Cardinals and Seahawks score 33 in the 1st half and ZERO in the 2nd half. Monday Night the Raiders who looked terrible lately and the Broncos at home had been looking great and that game went upside down. The Colts not only wake up to beat the Eagles who have looked like one of the best they beat them badly. We had the first tie in the league in 5 years - be warned before that 5 year span the span was 1 week...does that mean another tie this week? My point is simple ---- crazy things can, and usually do happen in the NFL. You just never know...

We'll look to continue our near 60% success in Week 11! Picks posted soon!


Arizona at Philadelphia (-11)(37.5)
The Eagles terrible last week, and struggled the week before against he lowly Bears. And in this league, especially this year is it ever safe to lay so many?? With any offensive threat they may have had gone for the year the Cardinals will be hard pressed to find the endzone much more this season. This is a great spot for the Eagles to bounce back and regain some confidence. If the Eagles don't blow out the Cardinals the 2nd half collapse for Philly is official - again.
Philadelphia Eagles -11

Baltimore at Miami (-4.5)(35)
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Buffalo at Kansas City (-3.5)(51)
Buffalo comes into KC off their bye week. The Chiefs, once averaging over 30ppg have managed just 33 in their last two. Buffalo's D should be the formula the Chiefs need to get going but despite some recent better performances on D the Chiefs won't be able to stop the Bills. Likely another close KC game, take the points. Although it's tough to recommend against the over - it should be noted that as the weather has gotten colder so have these high scoring offenses. KC under in last 2, Buff under in last 3.
Buffalo Bills +3.5
Cleveland at Cincinnati (+3.5)(40.5)
The Bengals showing some signs of an offense in recent weeks may be able to keep this competitive despite the Browns off a bye week. Neither team worth too much support so we'll take the home dog.
Cincinnait Bengals +3.5
Dallas at Indianapolis (-6.5)(40.5)
As we can say for so many teams this season - which Colts team will show up? The good news is that we safely predict which Dallas team will show up. The one that scores very few points. We just don't see the Cowboys offense having enough to stay in this game. Even if the defense is at their best the Colts have too many weapons.
Indianapolis Colts -6.5
Green Bay at Minnesota (+6.5)(49.5)
We recognize the Packers have struggled indoors historically, especially at Minnesota. But many of those recent years the Vikings were at least competitive. Also true that it could be let down time for the Packers who are one of few teams not to feature a Jekyll and Hyde performance from week to week. Despite all those factors we must go with the Packers. We feel the line already reflects these factors. If this game were in GreenBay the Packers would be 2 TD favorites. We worry a bit about Favre's knee on the carpet but the bottom line is simple. If we lose, I'd rather lose my money with the Packers than with the Vikings. Simply can't put any faith in Minnesota right now.
Green Bay Packers -6.5

New Orleans at Atlanta (-3)(51)
The Saints are looking for revenge against the Falcons who could easily be 7-1 if Vicks receivers could catch in the 4th quarter or all the clutch FG attempts went through. We like this to be a close game as despite the records these teams are evenly match. Likely comes down to a FG, take the points.
New Orleans Saints +3
Pittsburgh at Tennessee (+3)(44)
A great home dog play here as the Titans have been as Jekyll and Hyde as anyone this year. Tough to bet against the Steelers the way they've been scoring but the Titans simply have a way of playing to their competition so look for a solid performance this week. This also looks like a good spot to play the over keeping an eye on the weather.
Tennessee Titans +3
   
Washington at NY Giants (-3.5)(37)
Can't trust the Giants to open up the points on anybody more than a FG. We've been impressed lately with NY but simply too much inconsistency over the years to get too excited. A classic NFC East battle will be a close, low scoring game. Of course this play gets better if the Redskins get Davis back - we'll update you. The smarter play in this one is under and we'll take the points.
Washington Redskins +3.5
Redskins/Giants UNDER 37

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Carolina at Tampa Bay (-9)(34)
We simply aren't convinced that the Buccs offense will score enough against the tough Carolina D to open up by 9 points. With Peete back and game under his belt the Panthers are respectable, this is too many points to turn down.
Carolina Panthers +9
San Francisco at San Diego (+2.5)(42.5)
Another good home dog? Probably not. The Chargers off 2 straight losses are facing reality and the flip side of an early easy schedule. The are losing confidence quickly and although they may stay close for a while they are over matched in this one. Look for both teams to control the ball with simple offensive game plans making the under the smartest money in this game.
San Francisco 49ers -2.5
49ers/Chargers UNDER 42.5
Denver at Seattle (+4.5)(42.5)
Impressive last week, but probably more a commentary on the downfall of Arizona rather than a Seattle resurgence. The Broncos very likely to bounce back after another disappointing Monday Night. Seahawks can't stop the run and Denver has a backfield full of RBs to let loose. Seattle unlikely to put up too many points the Broncos should control the ball and the game.
Denver Broncos -4.5
Broncos/Seahawks UNDER 42.5
Jacksonville at Houston (+6)(37)
The first ever Revenge game Houston must defend. It won't be easy. The Jags want payback and last week looked once again like the team that started the year so strongly. We like the Texans at home but want at least a TD to put any money on them.
Jacksonville Jaguars -6


NY Jets at Detroit (+3)(43)
A battle of 2 of the best young QBs in the game. We could see a shoot-out in the dome as this might be the most entertaining late game of the day. If a shoot-out is the case the last team with the ball likely to get the win. Hanson has been great for Detroit, we'll take his leg and the free FG.
Detroit Lions +3

 

New England at Oakland (-4)(47.5)
Possibly the ultimate revenge game, the Raiders may still be steaming about the tuck rule. Let's just get one thing straight about the Snow Bowl last year - that was the correct call. It was a good call, it's a bad rule. The Raiders found their grove last week against one of the top defenses in the league. They saved their season and it's payback time for last year. Both teams have had similiar season, strong starts followed by a losing streak only to bounce back at the most unexpected time. So which teams show up Sunday night? Most scenarios still favor the Raiders at home.
Oakland Raiders -4


Chicago at St. Louis
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