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**FINAL RESULTS**

Win - Loss

Units

OVERALL

13-9

+3.1

Sides

10-6

+3.4

Over/Unders

3-3

-0.3

Week 1, and for the matter, weeks 2 and even into week 3 presents some unique challenges for handicappers. With pre-season being as much smoke and mirrors as anything it's tough to really get a read from games that don't matter. It's not until these teams take the field for real and put their best effort with their best players out there for 60 minutes that we can get a read on them. But remember, the oddsmakers have the same disadvantages and I took advantage last year with a 13-5 start in Week 1. In the early going of the season stick with only the best picks as too many games still have too many question marks.
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The Redskins will win this game with their defense, the Cards have some talent but they've had talent for a few years now and are yet to take advantage. Spurrier doesn't seem to have lost his 'pour it on' mentality and that be enough to push over the 7 point line. Not sure where Arizona will get their points.

Washington Redskins -7
Redskins/Cardinals UNDER 43.5

The Falcons have some exciting players in their backfield, but they are young. Look for the Falcons to improve throughout the year. But for Sunday I can assure you that the Packers have not forgotten the huge upset win by Atlanta in Lambeau. Favre will need his running game to give him a solid chance to adjust to wide receivers.

Neither team worthy of too much support based on last year, and pre-season didn't help either team. No offense again the case for Baltimore so the preferred play is the under in this one. As for a side I'll go with the home team.

Easy money in this one...and it might surprise you!
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Will the Colts D be better with Dungy? Yes, but maybe not this week as he has a lot of work to do. The big key for Indy will be how well James bounces back from his ACL injury in week 7 of last year. I'm not convinced he'll be too effective too quickly, especially with no time in pre-season. Brunell should benefit from Smith re-joining the team and a healthy (for at least the 1st quarter) Taylor. Again, a lot of question marks but I'll got with the home team.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5

This game boils down to Tim Couch playing. If he can't go I like the Chiefs and the under. If he plays, even if not 100%, I like the Browns and lean toward the over. I'll update this pick when we know more about Couch.

***Update - On Thursday evening Couch was downgraded it's unlikely he'll play, I like the Under and KC in this case. I'll finalize my pick with more news on Couch.

***Update - Hope you jumped on the line at 2.5, it's down to 1.5. We'll take the Chiefs and the under in this one.

Which group of Vikings will show up?? For that matter are the Bears really as good as their record from a year ago?? And will they be that good away from their true home field? This game has as many questions as any in a week filled with unanswered questions. The Vikings enjoying playing for new head coach and team chemistry which really hurt the Vikings the past few years should be better. But the Bears D is simply awesome, however I don't see them holding Moss scoreless. This game seems destined to be close, take the points.

The Bills offense will be much improved - if they can protect Bledsoe and this will be tougher until the Bills show they can run the ball. The Jets bring in a better D and with Curtis Martin they are tough to keep out of the endzone. The Jets are a good season by Vinny away from winning this division and it starts here.

The Eagles Donovan McNabb is one of the toughest guys in the NFL to stop, he can hurt you throwing or running. Add a healthy Duce and big body Levens to the backfield and this offense is dangerous. Too much for the Titans to stop even at home. With McNair and George healthy the Titans will get their points as well, but can't keep up with Philly on the scoreboard.

I fully expect Drew Brees to be a dominant QB in this league in a few years. I don't expect him to be one on Sunday. The Bengals remain an under rated team whose D isn't bad and with Corey Dillion running the ball can score. Tomlinson may not be 100% and that's a big blow as he is the Chargers primary weapon.

The Buccs are excited to have Gruden in town and will be better this year. But the Saints aren't getting enough credit as I look for their offense to be better this year with a backfield more suited to the offense they want to play. Not convinced that the Buccs are ready to cover this many just yet.

The Raiders will eventually miss Gruden and age has to catch up with this team eventually. But not this weekend. The Seahawks are a one-dimensional team on offense and the Raiders have worked very hard to be better at stopping that dimension. The Seahawks simply aren't good enough to keep up in this game.

Don't look for a repeat of the shoot-out last season between these two teams, although both can still score. The Broncos should be healthy, something they weren't all of last year and despite the retirement of Davis will still have a strong running game. The Rams notoriously less effective on grass and look for the Broncos to be inspired at home in the opener. This should be a tight, I'll go with the home team.

Denver Broncos +3
Broncos/Rams UNDER 52

Carr is another one from the class of '02 that will be a good one, but with absolutely no supporting cast he'll struggle for now. I'm not as sold on the Cowboys as many this year, but this one shouldn't be a problem, even for Quincy Carter.

Pittsburgh at New England

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