NFL Week 14

The playoffs will be here before we know it so every game means something someone!
Keep an eye on the weather this time of year...

Here are this weeks plays!
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New Orleans Saints (-3)(39) at Atlanta Falcons
With Chandler nursing an injury going with Atlanta makes me nervous - but with Chandler in there they can win this game. There are better games to play this week that this one. But with the Saints inconsistencies this year I like the Falcons with Chandler at QB.
Atlanta Falcons +3

 

New York Giants (-4)(35) at Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys got a big win at Washington last week and should be fired up for another division game. The Giants had two bad losses before their bye week last week and have never looked like the title winner of a year ago. With Emmitt Smith starting to look better and with Carter having another game under his belt the Cowboys could keep this one close.
Dallas Cowboys +4

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Carolina Panthers (+3.5)(37.5) at Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills finally play a team on their level. After being embarrassed on Sunday Night the Bills will be fired up to perform better. The Panthers have been terrible on the road this year.
Buffalo Bills -3.5

 

Chicago Bears (+5.5)(37.5) at Green Bay Packers
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Cleveland Browns (+5)(36.5) at New England Patriots
The Browns have a very difficult schedule to finish the season as 4 of 5 are on the road from here. On the other hand the Patriots still have a buy week ahead of them and must guard against a let down against Cleveland after last weeks come from behind win. If the Patriots can be fired up for this one they'll get a win at home.
New England Patriots -5
Patriots/Browns OVER 36.5
Detroit Lions (+8.5)(37) at Tampa Bay Buccs
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Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5)(36.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Jaguars are really struggling to win games, but they haven't played as bad as their record. The Bengals nearly upset the Buccs a week ago but will face a tougher offense this week. Brunell played hurt Monday Night and did okay, but was clearly slowed by his leg problem. The Jags of course are much better with Brunell, particularly since they still don't have Taylor back. With Brunell the Jags are the play. I'll update once the line open back up and we know about Brunell.
***Update - Brunell is listed as probable still late Saturday night. I think he'll play which makes the Jags the better play.
Jacksonville Jags +1.5

 

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San Diego Chargers (+7)(37.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
The Chargers are in quite a tailspin and have a tough task traveling to Philly this week who had a few extra days rest. San Diego is just 1-5 on the road this year and have lost 5 straight. The Eagles are the clearly superior team, however they have been much better on the road. They control their own destiny at this point and could easily over look the struggling AFC West Chargers (especially after easily handling AFC West KC last Thurs) as they look to a division game next week. I'm hesitant to lay a TD with Philly at home where they could be lacking emotion. The Chargers will come to play.
San Diego Chargers +7

San Francisco 49ers (+7.5)(54.5) at St. Louis Rams
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Tennessee Titans (-2)(42) at Minnesota Vikings
Both McNair and Culpepper are nursing injuries and their status remains uncertain at this time. The Vikings continue to struggle but when they have shown signs of life it's been at home. The Titans are just 1-4 ATS on the road this year. Check back on this game as I'll update later in the week.
***Update - McNair should play and Culpepper is a game time decission. I feel the Vikings might be better off without him as the Titans are likely to let down a bit. Either way the Titans are lousy on the road, tough to recommend the Vikings this year but I will here.
Minnesota Vikings +2
Washington Redskins (Pick)(38.5) at Arizona Cardinals

A battle of red hot teams! The Cardinals have won 3 straight and Washington had won 5 in a row until faltering last week. Believe it or not this game has playoff implications! If the Eagles falter down the stretch the winner of this game remains in position to steal the NFC East title. The Cardinals do have a big problem as they have lost star guard Pete Kendall. This should be a close game throughout so I'll go with the home team that has the better FG kicker.
Arizona Cardinals -0.5
Cardinals/Redskins OVER 38.5

Kansas City Chiefs (+9)(45) at Oakland Raiders

The Raiders have struggled lately to stop the run, and about the only thing the Chiefs have done well lately is run the ball. The Chiefs are in the unusual spot of spoiler for Oakland as the Raiders need to stay in home field advantage contention. The Chiefs had some extra time to practice which will help Green work with Alexander and improve the Chiefs very poor passing game. The Raiders will be fired up and have a lot of edges in this game. I don't look for an upset but in this long time rivarly I can't turn down this many points.
Kansas City Chiefs +9
New York Jets (+3.5)(34.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
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Seattle Seahawks (+6)(40.5) at Denver Broncos
Terrell Davis was back for Denver last week, which means he's about due to get hurt again this week. Each of these teams is better at home than on the road, so advantage Denver. But the Broncos have serious problems at WR and Griese is struggling. If the Seahawks can avoid mistakes they can steal a big win here, but certainly they Broncos no longer have the fire power to put teams away.
Seattle Seahawks +6

 

Indianapolis Colts (+5)(44.5) at Miami Dolphins

Despite the final score of last weeks loss the Colts had a chance to win last week. And no matter how much he's struggling now, Peyton Manning with his receivers is a threat. It's tough to ignore the fact that the road team has covered the last 5 in this series.

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Indianapolis Colts +5

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