NFL Week 13
**FINAL RESULTS**
Win - Loss
Units
OVERALL
7-9
-2.90
Sides
6-8
-2.80
Over/Unders
1-1
-0.10

Philadelphia Eagles (-3)(37) at Kansas City Chiefs
Look for the Chiefs and their fans to carry over the momentum from last weeks home win. The return of Derrick Alexander helps the offense and Priest Holmes is on top of his game.
Kansas City Chiefs +3

 

Carolina Panthers (+10)(41) at New Orleans Saints
The Panthers continue to lose close games and the Saints continue to be inconsistent. Certainly the Saints should have little trouble in this game but with a team who has looked as bad at times as good it's tough to lay a big number. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS on the road and the Saints are 9-1 ATS after a straight up loss. I'm hesitant to lay 10 with anybody this year. There are a lot of better games to bet on this weekend.
New Orleans Saints -10

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Denver Broncos (+3)(39.5) at Miami Dolphins
If you can play WR, give Mike Shannahan a call. Both teams suffering injuries to key spots. The Dolphins have no running game (again) and Griese doesn't have anybody to throw to. I'll have to wait to get a report on Rod Smith and Terrell Davis before posting on this game.
***Update - Both teams will play with key injuries in key spots so it comes down to which back ups are better and which spots are most key. Bottom line is that Miami is playing better lately and their at home.
Miami Dolphins -3

 

Detroit Lions (+7.5)(38.5) at Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears are for real, no doubt about it. An impressive defense makes this team a top contender to represent the NFC in the SuperBowl. But off a big win last week and a trip to Green Bay upcoming it seems entirely likely that Chicago will over look the winless Lions. Detroit is 4-2-1 ATS in their last 8 and haven't lost by more than 8 points in any of those. Don't look for the 1st Lion win of the year, but take the points.
Detroit Lions +7.5
Lions/Bears UNDER 38.5

 

Indianapolis Colts (+7)(43) at Baltimore Ravens
The Colts are certainly in a downward spiral, but they have too much talent to lay a TD against. The Ravens aren't the type of team to blow people out and they have too many injuries to be this big of a favorite.
Indianapolis Colts +7
Colts/Ravens UNDER 43
Minnesota Vikings (+7)(40.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
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New England Patriots (+3)(38) at New York Jets
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St. Louis Rams (-8.5)(47) at Atlanta Falcons
The Rams played their worst game of the year on Monday Night and will be looking to bounce back. But St. Louis has some injury concerns that could slow this team down some. They have scored at least 40 points in their last 2 trips to Atlanta. With Chandler amazingly still healthy this team can put some points on the board as well. The Falcons have beaten some good teams this year they won't get blown out in this one.
Atlanta Falcons +8

Tampa Bay Buccs (-6)(35.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Buccs got a huge win last Monday night and face a Bengal team headed down. The Buccs must avoid a let down and not being able to afford too many more losses if they want to make the playoffs should do so. But without an exceptionally potent offense and some struggles against the run the Bengals could stay close. But it would seem the wheels are coming off in Cinncy and the Buccs are strong finishers recently.
Tampa Bay Buccs -6

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Tennessee Titans (+1)(35.5) at Cleveland Browns
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San Diego Chargers (+3)(43) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks get the Chargers at the right time, a team headed in the wrong direction after a great start. Home cookin' didn't help San Diego last week but I would expect the Seahawks to enjoy being home.
Seattle Seahawks -3

Arizona Cardinals (+13.5)(45) at Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders are off an impressive win last week and have the Chiefs coming to town next week. And although the KC game won't have quite the impact to the playoff picture as in years past it may be understandable if Oakland over looks the Cardinals. Certainly there is little chance the Raiders will lose this game but to lay nearly 2 TD's this season in the NFL can be risky. With Jake Plummer known to be at his best when he's out of games late I can't justify laying this many points. The Raiders are probably at least 14 points better than the Cardinals but with a late meaningless TD capable of changing the ATS outcome I'll take the points. Again, plenty of better games to put your money on.
Arizona Cardinals +13.5
Dallas Cowboys (+9)(35) at Washington Redskins
The Washington Redskins are just one game out of first place in the AFC East - that's what 5 straight wins will do for you. But no way this team is worthy of this point spread. Yes they are playing much better and yes they are superior to Dallas but I can't lay this many points with Washington.
Dallas Cowboys +9


Buffalo Bills (+9.5)(46) at San Francisco 49ers
I watched it happen and I still don't believe it, the Bills not only found a way to blow a 10 point lead with 8 minutes to play but they found a way to lose by a TD. The 49ers are having a great year but after another big win are they going to be up for the Bills? It wouldn't be the first time this year they got caught over looking a team. And with a showdown next week with the Rams it's more likely the 49ers will let down. But even not playing their best they should be 10 points better than Buffalo, shouldn't they? It would seem so but the way this NFL season has played out I can't turn down this many points.
Buffalo Bills +9.5

 

Green Bay Packers (-3)(43) at Jacksonville Jaguars

A home dog on Monday Night always a tempting offer. This game comes down to one simple thing, however we don't know the answer. Which Brett Favre will show up? Brunell was solid again last week returning to the lineup but again the Jags found a way to lose a game. But the Jags are 4-0 (3-1 ATS) on Monday Night Football. The Packers are the better team, but they've been inconsistent. If Favre is on the Packers roll, if he's off the Jags pull the upset. So which will it be? Check back and I'll have my pick posted.
***Update - The Jags have been a dissapointment this year, the Packers although winning have not been consistently impressive. But with Favre and Green healthy I have to go with the Packers.
Green Bay Packers -3

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