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**FINAL RESULTS**
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Win - Loss
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Units
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OVERALL
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13 - 5
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+7.50
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Sides
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10 - 3
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+6.70
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Over/Unders
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3 - 2
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+0.80
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The early weeks are always the toughest as it's difficult
to take away too much from preseason and many injuries are bigger question
marks than they might be later in the season. But there are some exceptions
when week 1 can work to our favor, like in my favorite free pick, available
only here, and my guaranteed
TOP PICK here!
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Detroit Lions (+5)(41.5) at Green Bay Packers
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The Packers look to have a healthy Bret Favre for
the first time in a few years and that alone makes them a solid football
team. The Lions should improve throughout the year as their offense
comes together. Tough to bet against a healthy Favre in a home opener.
Add a 7-0-1 record ATS for the home team in the series and the choice
is obvious.
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Green Bay
Packers -5
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Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)(38) at Cleveland Browns
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The Seahawks are another team who should get better
as the year goes on while they get comfortable with a new QB. The Browns
are still the Browns but should be better on defense. Seattle will certainly
have the better season when it's all said and done but getting a FG
against a team making a long trip plus a QB in his first NFL start is
to tempting.
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Cleveland
Browns +3.5
Browns/Seahawks OVER 38 |
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Tampa Bay Buccs (-9)(34) at Dallas Cowboys
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Don't expect too many points in this game with both
teams defenses far superior to their offenses. Can't recommend good
money on it however as both teams have question marks at QB. The Buccs
will certainly out score Dallas and absolutely win this game, but is
9 too many on opening day? Probably not as the Buccs D could pitch a
shutout and 4 Gramatica FGs cover that spread.
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Tampa Bay
Buccs -9
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Carolina Panthers (+10)(45) at Minnesota Vikings
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Vikings/Panthers UNDER 45 |
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Chicago Bears (+10.5)(33.5) at Baltimore Ravens
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The Ravens begin their title defense against a team
who has been rebuilding for as long as I can remember. The Ravens D
will look to get the first of many shutouts and once again FG's should
be enough to win and in this case likely enough to cover. Elvis Grbac
might just be the smartest free agent we've seen in a while, he goes
to the superbowl champs and steps into a situation where it's almost
impossible to be a worse QB than they had a year ago.
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Baltimore
Ravens -10.5
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Indianapolis Colts (-2)(44.5) at New York Jets
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To be perfectly honest as I begin typing this I don't
know who my pick is going to be. Perhaps as I make the teams case I'll
decide. The biggest question mark is Peyton Mannings knee, which only
Peyton knows the answer to. On paper the Colts have more weapons, but
the Jets are tough at home and this series produces close games with
the home teaming going 4-0-2 ATS in the series recently. If Manning
is healthy the Colts should have the offense to win here, so let's hope
he's as ready as he indicates.
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Indianapolis
Colts -2
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New England Patriots (-1.5)(35.5) at Cincinnati
Bengals
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The Patriots are a bad football team with bad players,
the Bengals are a bad football with some good players. However, Kitna
is not one of them which will cause problems. Corey Dillion alone could
make the difference.
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Cincinnati
Bengals +1.5
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New Orleans Saints (-1.5)(37.5) at Buffalo Bills
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Buffalo has never been an easy place to win, particularly
since their team keeps getting worse. The Saints however may just be
for real and despite greater success in the friendly confines of their
dome will be tough in this one. The number's too small to turn down.
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New Orleans
Saints -1.5
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Oakland Raiders (-3)(43) at Kansas City Chiefs
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The Chiefs have covered 18 of their last 19 openers
at Arrowhead and in the rare role of home dog are 9-2. Tough numbers
to ignore, even if one of the losses was last year. The Raiders may
have more talent and an unusual 2 game win streak at Arrowhead but this
is a new team with a new attitude that will absolutely be ready to defend
home turf. Look for both offenses to firing and finding the end zone.
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Kansas City
Chiefs +3
Chiefs/Raiders OVER 43 |
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Pittsburgh Steelers (+3)(37.5) at Jacksonville
Jaguars
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The Jags are once again not an entirely healthy team,
but by Jacksonville standards they are in great shape. The Steelers
will be a better team this year, but so will Jacksonville. I expect
both teams to score and with Pitts going 6-2 ATS a year ago I like the
points, I like the 4.5 we could have gotten early in the week even more
though.
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Pittsburgh
Steelers +3
Steelers/Jaguars OVER 37.5 |
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St. Louis Rams (-3)(46.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
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Both teams certainly have some weapons on offense
and if Marshall Faulk is 100% the Rams are so tough. But I tend to favor
the home team in this one as the fans will be so ready for this game.
I'm not convinced the Eagles are the better team but in this game I
like taking the points. Again, I like the +4 the game opened at more,
but still like the home dog.
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Philadelphia
Eagles +3
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Atlanta Falcons (+3.5)(46) at San Francisco 49ers
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Chandler is healthy, of course the game hasn't started
yet, so that helps the Falcons. And if Jamal Anderson is close to his
previous form the 49ers could have trouble stopping Atlanta. But let's
forget the performance of the 49ers offense a year ago. Tough call here
as both teams are big question marks and both could be surprises this
year (although not to us I guess since I just said it) so who gets off
to a better start? I'll go with the points and hope for a close game.
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Atlanta
Falcons +3.5
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Washington Redskins (+2.5)(36.5) at San Diego Chargers
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The Chargers are favored, the Chargers are favored!!?!?!
Well as hard as it is to believe it is with good reason. And not just
that the Redskins are that bad. The Chargers love Flutie, and why not
all the guy does is win football games. The Chargers believe they can
win and with a solid FG kicker a 3 point victory is not too much to
ask.
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San Diego Chargers -2.5
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Miami Dolphins (+6)(34) at Tennessee Titans
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The Titans win a lot of football games, but they don't
cover a lot of spreads. Tennessee very tough at home but Miami not easily
intimidated. Look for a battle that will be closer than 6 points.
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Miami Dolphins
+6
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New York Giants (+6.5)(44.5) at Denver Broncos
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Not a great way to start the defense of the NFC title,
opening Denver's new stadium. The Broncos are my choice AFC West and
perhaps a trip to the superbowl, they will get off to a good start here.
Denver has too many weapons for the Giants and will score. Broncos games
go over when they're home, 7-1 last year and 19-8 over longer stretch.
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Denver Broncos
-6.5
Broncos/Giants OVER 44.5 |
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