NFL Week 1
**FINAL RESULTS**
Win - Loss
Units
OVERALL
13 - 5
+7.50
Sides
10 - 3
+6.70
Over/Unders
3 - 2
+0.80

 

The early weeks are always the toughest as it's difficult to take away too much from preseason and many injuries are bigger question marks than they might be later in the season. But there are some exceptions when week 1 can work to our favor, like in my favorite free pick, available only here, and my guaranteed TOP PICK here!

Detroit Lions (+5)(41.5) at Green Bay Packers
The Packers look to have a healthy Bret Favre for the first time in a few years and that alone makes them a solid football team. The Lions should improve throughout the year as their offense comes together. Tough to bet against a healthy Favre in a home opener. Add a 7-0-1 record ATS for the home team in the series and the choice is obvious.
Green Bay Packers -5

 

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)(38) at Cleveland Browns
The Seahawks are another team who should get better as the year goes on while they get comfortable with a new QB. The Browns are still the Browns but should be better on defense. Seattle will certainly have the better season when it's all said and done but getting a FG against a team making a long trip plus a QB in his first NFL start is to tempting.
Cleveland Browns +3.5
Browns/Seahawks OVER 38

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Tampa Bay Buccs (-9)(34) at Dallas Cowboys
Don't expect too many points in this game with both teams defenses far superior to their offenses. Can't recommend good money on it however as both teams have question marks at QB. The Buccs will certainly out score Dallas and absolutely win this game, but is 9 too many on opening day? Probably not as the Buccs D could pitch a shutout and 4 Gramatica FGs cover that spread.
Tampa Bay Buccs -9

 

Carolina Panthers (+10)(45) at Minnesota Vikings

This is it! My first TOP PICK of the week!
Guaranteed to win or you get next week free!

I do like the under here in addition to my TOP PICK!!

Vikings/Panthers UNDER 45
Get the side winner with my TOP PICK!

 

Chicago Bears (+10.5)(33.5) at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens begin their title defense against a team who has been rebuilding for as long as I can remember. The Ravens D will look to get the first of many shutouts and once again FG's should be enough to win and in this case likely enough to cover. Elvis Grbac might just be the smartest free agent we've seen in a while, he goes to the superbowl champs and steps into a situation where it's almost impossible to be a worse QB than they had a year ago.
Baltimore Ravens -10.5
Indianapolis Colts (-2)(44.5) at New York Jets
To be perfectly honest as I begin typing this I don't know who my pick is going to be. Perhaps as I make the teams case I'll decide. The biggest question mark is Peyton Mannings knee, which only Peyton knows the answer to. On paper the Colts have more weapons, but the Jets are tough at home and this series produces close games with the home teaming going 4-0-2 ATS in the series recently. If Manning is healthy the Colts should have the offense to win here, so let's hope he's as ready as he indicates.
Indianapolis Colts -2

 

New England Patriots (-1.5)(35.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Patriots are a bad football team with bad players, the Bengals are a bad football with some good players. However, Kitna is not one of them which will cause problems. Corey Dillion alone could make the difference.
Cincinnati Bengals +1.5

 

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New Orleans Saints (-1.5)(37.5) at Buffalo Bills
Buffalo has never been an easy place to win, particularly since their team keeps getting worse. The Saints however may just be for real and despite greater success in the friendly confines of their dome will be tough in this one. The number's too small to turn down.
New Orleans Saints -1.5

Oakland Raiders (-3)(43) at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have covered 18 of their last 19 openers at Arrowhead and in the rare role of home dog are 9-2. Tough numbers to ignore, even if one of the losses was last year. The Raiders may have more talent and an unusual 2 game win streak at Arrowhead but this is a new team with a new attitude that will absolutely be ready to defend home turf. Look for both offenses to firing and finding the end zone.
Kansas City Chiefs +3
Chiefs/Raiders OVER 43

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Pittsburgh Steelers (+3)(37.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jags are once again not an entirely healthy team, but by Jacksonville standards they are in great shape. The Steelers will be a better team this year, but so will Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score and with Pitts going 6-2 ATS a year ago I like the points, I like the 4.5 we could have gotten early in the week even more though.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3
Steelers/Jaguars OVER 37.5
St. Louis Rams (-3)(46.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Both teams certainly have some weapons on offense and if Marshall Faulk is 100% the Rams are so tough. But I tend to favor the home team in this one as the fans will be so ready for this game. I'm not convinced the Eagles are the better team but in this game I like taking the points. Again, I like the +4 the game opened at more, but still like the home dog.
Philadelphia Eagles +3

Atlanta Falcons (+3.5)(46) at San Francisco 49ers
Chandler is healthy, of course the game hasn't started yet, so that helps the Falcons. And if Jamal Anderson is close to his previous form the 49ers could have trouble stopping Atlanta. But let's forget the performance of the 49ers offense a year ago. Tough call here as both teams are big question marks and both could be surprises this year (although not to us I guess since I just said it) so who gets off to a better start? I'll go with the points and hope for a close game.
Atlanta Falcons +3.5
Washington Redskins (+2.5)(36.5) at San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are favored, the Chargers are favored!!?!?! Well as hard as it is to believe it is with good reason. And not just that the Redskins are that bad. The Chargers love Flutie, and why not all the guy does is win football games. The Chargers believe they can win and with a solid FG kicker a 3 point victory is not too much to ask.
San Diego Chargers -2.5


Miami Dolphins (+6)(34) at Tennessee Titans
The Titans win a lot of football games, but they don't cover a lot of spreads. Tennessee very tough at home but Miami not easily intimidated. Look for a battle that will be closer than 6 points.
Miami Dolphins +6

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New York Giants (+6.5)(44.5) at Denver Broncos
Not a great way to start the defense of the NFC title, opening Denver's new stadium. The Broncos are my choice AFC West and perhaps a trip to the superbowl, they will get off to a good start here. Denver has too many weapons for the Giants and will score. Broncos games go over when they're home, 7-1 last year and 19-8 over longer stretch.
Denver Broncos -6.5
Broncos/Giants OVER 44.5

 

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